And if I kept growing like I did when I was 15

Between the time I was 15 and 16 I grew by at least 6 inches. If I had kept growing at that rate I would be a giant by now. Since I didn’t, someone must have drugged me to stop my growth. Sound stupid? Well here you go (via here via here, go here for the more in-depth version of the stupidity):

Some assumptions:

1. Let’s say Tea Party groups had continued to grow at the pace seen in 2009 and 2010.

2. And let’s further say that their impact on the 2012 vote would have been similar to that seen in 2010. A new paper co-authored by AEI’s Stan Veuger estimates the grass-roots movement generated 3 million to 6 million additional Republican votes in House races in the midterms.

3. The 2012 result would have seen as many as 5 million to 8.5 million additional GOP votes versus a President Obama victory margin of 5 million votes. And right around now, Mitt Romney would be pushing hard to implement his tax reform plan, and #44 would be launching the Obama Global Initiative.

Therefore, the IRS must have thrown the election to Obama. David Weigel notes that the first assumption is wrong:

A November 2010 Quinnipiac poll gave the Tea Party a mildly negative 34-38 favorable rating; a year later this had fallen to a 29-42 favorable rating. Politics and life had intervened, and the “Tea Party’s” role in the debt limit showdown (i.e., starting the showdown in the first place) was wildly unpopular.

In fact the number of Tea Party groups has decreased a bit (because of the IRS, I’m sure):

In researching her recent book, “The Tea Party and the Remaking of Republican Conservatism,” Harvard professor Theda Skocpol found that about 1,000 local tea party groups formed in 2009-2010. Today, she estimates there are about 600. A declining number, yes, but still what Skocpol, an expert on civic engagement, calls “a very good survival rate.”

Both David Weigel and Kevin Drum predict that the IRS scandal won’t go away anytime soon because conservatives ‘know’ that Obama was involved somehow even if there ‘s no evidence. This brings me to the real reason for this post–to make a prediction: the next scandal will be that the IRS agents involved were former ACORN members. Here’s how it will be presented:

  • In 2009 the IRS severed ties with ACORN (ACORN was one of many groups that helped provide free tax assistance to low- and moderate-income Americans). This was really a ploy–ACORN was broken up because they had been caught committing voter fraud, the IRS then severed ties with them to disguise the fact that many ACORN members were brought into the IRS so they could throw elections from inside the IRS.

Now you might note that ACORN was found to have not committed fraud:

Following the publication of the videos and withdrawal of funding, four different independent investigations by various state and city Attorneys General and the GAO released in 2009 and 2010 cleared ACORN, finding its employees had not engaged in criminal activities and that the organization had managed its federal funding appropriately, and calling the videos deceptively and selectively edited to present the workers in the worst possible light.

but if you do a search, you probably will not find that information–after all it is now accepted that ACORN was guilty. You might also be a bit skeptical that the IRS would hire former ACORN workers to throw an election, but go back to the top story and tell me that’s any more likely. Remember the IRS and ACORN.

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